Thread: NOAA's Climate Prediction Center Stated A Warmer Than Normal Winter for the Mid West?

They blew it big time. I doubt anyone in Chicago would agree that NOAA predicted the climate correctly.

If the Climate Prediction Center can't predict the climate a month out, how does anyone believe they are more accurate if given more time?

Isn't it a false belief to say that no one can predict the climate 3 months out, but climate prediction is very accurate 100 years from now?

If the Climate Prediction Center can't predict 3 months out, doesn't this just prove the theory of climate modeling is just flawed and unreliable?

Doesn't this show that the whole theory of "Global Warming" is questionable?

If I flip a coin 100 times and its been heads 75 times and tails 25 times, what will be the result on the 101st attempt?

50/50 chance heads or tails, right?
OR do you lean heads because you think the coin is improperly balanced?
OR do you believe tails because it will eventually even out?

given that we can't predict 101 trials out, doesn't this just prove the theory of probability is just flawed and unreliable?

No it does not

P.S. The theory of global warming is questionable because it is a theory. That's what it means to be a theory.
Are you questioning it, and researching it, and comparing models?

If you are, that is great, kudos to you for being proactive.

If you are not, it does not matter what side you are on, you are not concerned with the theory at all, and are just concerned with spouting your opinion.